September 25, 2019
The apprehension of hundreds of crores
It is a carefully researched and scholarly work that also has a guide like
quality as it simplifies a very widely and frequently discussed subject — the
issue of black money. It is an irrefutably factual and cold analysis of what led
to the Modi demonetisation and its economic consequences. What does this
indicate?
One cannot claim any accretion of support due to
demonetisation.Demonetisation and Black Money, by C. So what was the hullabaloo
about?That demonetisation exacted a huge economic cost is without doubt. He also
specialises in the Chinese economy. The Act had the side-effect of prohibiting
nearly all US exports and most imports, greatly disrupting the US economy.
Its
utility and relevance will be undiminished even after the after effects of
demonetisation recede from our memories. But greatness lies in admitting
mistakes and learning from them. If the argument is that demonetisation stemmed
the loss of support to the Modi government, we have yet to see any empirical
validation of it.. But, instead of wisdom, there is much vaingloriousness in the
PM’s style of decision-making that crimps discussion and examination of
alternatives. But, most commentators and opinion makers have read in the results
of the UP elections that there is popular support for demonetisation. Its vote
share declined somewhat to 39. This may or may not be so.124)This as much a book
about an event as it is about economic and monetary policy and the institutional
framework they operate in.
The writer, a policy analyst studying economic and
security issues, held senior positions in government and industry. But, Reddy
gets back his cold tenor when he sums up: "The story of demonetisation and its a
ftermath, in the first two months after the event has been one of unremitting
pain and China
foaming barrel screws Suppliers hardship inflicted on the people who could
not escape its impact. This means this much good, bad and fake money was
successfully exchanged.The PM made out that demonetisation was going to mean the
extinguishing of "black money†and all that wouldn’t be returned to banks would
be its bonus. He exclaimed in public: "How could I have been so stupid?†Leaders
are not immune to stupidity or else they would not be human. Demonetisation and
Black Money By C. The pashm then began flowing to Ludhiana and helped it to
become the great centre for the manufacture of woolens it still is. There is not
even the slightest sign of remorse or that he has learned anything.
This entails
wisdom. I have described it elsewhere as a singular act of vandalism.7 per cent
in 2017.C.The decision by the government to strip 86 per cent of the currency in
circulation of its status as legal tender, followed by restrictions on
withdrawals from banks and then the general shortage of cash, deeply hurt people
at different levels and in different dimensions. Kennedy, agreed to the
disastrous invasion of Cuba at the Bay of Pigs Crisis. It has everything one
could or should want to know about demonetisation in general and the impact of
how it was implemented by the Modi government. Rammanohar Reddy, is an
irrefutably factual and cold analysis of demonetisation and its impact. He went
public and acknowledged responsibility. It had very few Rs 2,000 or Rs 500 notes
rolling out of its security presses, and no additional small value notes to pick
up the slack somewhat. The apparent unpreparedness and haste in rolling out the
GST is indicative of this. The Embargo Act of 1807 was passed by the United
States Congress in protest against British and French interference in US
shipping.†(P. In 2014, the BJP had a 42 per cent vote share. Rammanohar Reddy
Orient BlackSwan, Rs 295; 272 pagesHistory is replete with instances when acting
out of pique or haste inflicts huge costs on a nation. Kennedy realised he was
taken in and was the one responsible. JFK had assembled the brightest men in
America to be part of his cabinet, advisors and aides. File photo of people
standing in line to exchange demonetised notes. Neither was borne out. The only
time when some emotion creeps in is in chapter nine on Distress and Despair
where Reddy juxtaposes anecdotal newspaper reports on individual and collective
distress. It just proves that new money too turns as easily into black money as
the old money and nothing has changed. Ladakh never recovered from the loss of
revenue. Yet, they led him into a disaster. Clearly, the government was
unprepared.2L crores in high denomination notes Rs 13.8L crores have come back
into the system. The book is extremely clinical in its diagnosis and
conclusions. He marches merrily on. Even the most ardent Modi admirers admit to
that. That they may have borne it stoically does not mean that their suffering
was any less.
The resultant cashlessness has cost the national economy hugely,
and devastated the livelihoods of tens of millions. When you abruptly withdraw
high denomination currency notes equal to 86 per cent of the value or Rs 14. In
1961 the newly elected US President, the brilliantly educated John F.2L crore,
one would expect proper arrangements would have been made to replace what was
now excluded. It was over the usual reasons — caste equations and local politics
being the main focus.†Closer home, the great Ladakh king, Senge Namgyal
(1620-70), imposed a punitive tax on the pashm wool trade between Tibet and
Kashmir, which largely went by the shortest route through Ladakh, in response to
a slight by the ruler of Kashmir. There is not even the slightest sign that
Narendra Modi has realised the massive screw-up his demonetisation policy has
turned out to be. Out of the Rs 14. It is to the writer’s credit that he does
not let any biases creep in — the EPW after all does have a certain editorial
political slant — and keeps the focus tightly on the subject. Rammanohar Reddy,
a former editor of the respected Economics and Political Weekly, popularly
referred to as EPW, wrote his book Demonetisation and Black Money before the UP
elections.
The apprehension of hundreds of crores in new pink Rs 2,000s from all
across the country by the police as well as the I-T authorities within weeks of
outlawing the Rs 1,000 and Rs 500 notes is enough proof of that. Even if not
educated in the conventional sense, seeking many options from a deep examination
of the issue by the knowledgeable is a quality essential for successful
leadership. He once said at dinner with them that not since Thomas Jefferson
dined alone had the White House seen so much brilliance, intelligence and wit.
It’s a book every student and practitioner of economics and public policy must
read. The UP election was not fought over demonetisation. Even the citations are
mostly from official documentation
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